The Lebanese National Debt, Banking Fiasco and Prospects for Recovery
Monday Talk: Mon 17 November 2025
Doors open at 6:30 and the talk starts 7 pm
(Beirut Time GMT+2)
Speaker: Oussama Nasr (English)
Entry Charges
Due to not being able to collect all "consommation" at the, KwL is now charging a fixed entry at the door.
Entry charges: $7 or LL 600,000 which entitles you to a free drink of your choice.
(Please bring a $10 note with you. There will be change.
The Talk
‘Haircut’. ‘Eurobonds’.
‘Restructuring’. Some of the many terms that are bandied about daily in the local
and international media, and even at the humble barber’s, in a nation desperate
to hear that sooner or later its money-in-the-bank will be returned into its
deserving and grateful hands.
How did we get into this mess?
Oussama’s talk will begin by describing how deposits at the local banks were
used principally to extend loans to the Lebanese Republic and the Banque du
Liban. These two entities were initially able to pay high rates of interest on
these loans, before becoming overwhelmed by the cost in late 2019 and declaring
their inability to continue making payments.
In turn this resulted in the
collapse of the banking system and the realization of an aggregate loss
estimated to be close to $80 Billion, or many multiples of the total capital of
the entire system. A question that arises is what were the regulators doing all
this time?
The talk will conclude with
Oussama’s best sense of what can be done at this stage, and what depositors
should reasonably be expecting once the dust settles.
Oussama has two short articles he would like you to read before the talk:
Click Here for “What should Lebanon’s Eurobonds be Worth”
Click Here for “The Consequences of a Sovereign Restructuring”
Oussama
A. Nasr has worked for 39 years as a lawyer, banker, financial trainer and
consultant in New York City and Beirut. He began his career at a large
corporate law firm in New York City, then joined an investment bank, before
establishing his finance consultancy 28 years ago with a small number of close
colleagues.
Of particular relevance to his proposed talk, Oussama has worked on the
sovereign debt rescheduling of Brazil, Mexico and Ecuador’s debt, as lawyer
and banker successively, in addition to analyzing and evaluating insolvent bank
restructurings in a variety of countries across the world. He brings to the
task his financial and legal backgrounds to a determination of what is feasible
for Lebanon and what is merely fantastical.
Oussama
holds BA and MA degrees from the University of Cambridge in Mathematics and
Philosophy and a Juris Doctor degree from Cornell Law School.